Demanding this hour because of a 4.5 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 5.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 5 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · NE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 10 mph – 10 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 10 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 10°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 4.5 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 5.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 4.6 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · NE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 15°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 4.6 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 4.2 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 5 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 10 mph – 10 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · NE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 10 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 11°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 4.2 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 7.1 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 7 mph – 7 mph
- Gust model range
- 15 mph – 15 mph
- Surface wind
- 7 mph · ENE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 11 mph – 11 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 15 mph (+7)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 11 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 2°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.1 mph, a 10.3 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 10 mph – 10 mph
- Gust model range
- 20 mph – 20 mph
- Surface wind
- 10 mph · ENE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 14 mph – 14 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 20 mph (+10)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 14 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 0°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 25.3 mph, a 12.9 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 12 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 25 mph – 25 mph
- Surface wind
- 12 mph · ENE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 17 mph – 17 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 25 mph (+13)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 17 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 1°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26 mph and a 13.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 12 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 26 mph – 26 mph
- Surface wind
- 12 mph · E
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 17 mph – 17 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 26 mph (+14)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 17 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 2°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 13.8 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 25.7 mph and a 13.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 12 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 26 mph – 26 mph
- Surface wind
- 12 mph · E
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 16 mph – 16 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 26 mph (+14)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 16 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 2°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 13.9 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 25.5 mph and a 13.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 12 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 25 mph – 25 mph
- Surface wind
- 12 mph · E
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (65 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 16 mph – 16 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 25 mph (+14)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 16 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 2°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 13.9 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.