Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 36 mph, a 19.6 mph gust spread, and a 9.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 16 mph, gusts 30 mph, and climb band 26 mph for Saturday, Oct 3, 1:00 AM.

Surface
16 mph
Gust
30 mph
Climb band
26 mph

Saturday, Oct 3, 1:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowWindy
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn9°

Surface

16 mph

33 ft · SE

Gust spread

13 mph

Gusts 30 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 31 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

9 mph

394 ft / SE

Bells Beach - SouthsideDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 36 mph, a 19.6 mph gust spread, and a 9.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (36 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 30 mph
Gust model range
26 mph – 36 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SE
Highest gust input
36 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 31 mph
Gust speed (spread)
30 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
26 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 35.8 mph, a 18.8 mph gust spread, and a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (36 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 32 mph
Gust model range
26 mph – 36 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · SE
Highest gust input
36 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 34 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
27 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 38.5 mph, a 19.7 mph gust spread, and a 10.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (38 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 35 mph
Gust model range
27 mph – 38 mph
Surface wind
19 mph · SE
Highest gust input
38 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 37 mph
Gust speed (spread)
33 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
30 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 41.6 mph, a 21.8 mph gust spread, and a 11.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (42 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 36 mph
Gust model range
30 mph – 42 mph
Surface wind
20 mph · SE
Highest gust input
42 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
22 mph – 38 mph
Gust speed (spread)
36 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
32 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 21.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 42.5 mph, a 22.6 mph gust spread, and a 12.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (43 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
16 mph – 36 mph
Gust model range
32 mph – 43 mph
Surface wind
20 mph · SE
Highest gust input
43 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
22 mph – 38 mph
Gust speed (spread)
36 mph (+17)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
32 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 42.9 mph, a 23.3 mph gust spread, and a 11.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (43 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
16 mph – 35 mph
Gust model range
32 mph – 43 mph
Surface wind
20 mph · SE
Highest gust input
43 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
22 mph – 37 mph
Gust speed (spread)
36 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
31 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 23.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 42.9 mph, a 23.7 mph gust spread, and a 11.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (43 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
16 mph – 34 mph
Gust model range
30 mph – 43 mph
Surface wind
19 mph · SE
Highest gust input
43 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 36 mph
Gust speed (spread)
36 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
30 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 23.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 42.8 mph, a 24.3 mph gust spread, and a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (43 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 33 mph
Gust model range
29 mph – 43 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · SE
Highest gust input
43 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 34 mph
Gust speed (spread)
35 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
29 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 24.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 42.1 mph, a 24.5 mph gust spread, a 9.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (42 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 31 mph
Gust model range
29 mph – 42 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · SE
Highest gust input
42 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 33 mph
Gust speed (spread)
33 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
27 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 41.1 mph, a 24.2 mph gust spread, and a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (41 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 30 mph
Gust model range
26 mph – 41 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · SE
Highest gust input
41 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 31 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
26 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 24.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 40.3 mph, a 23.9 mph gust spread, and a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (40 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 29 mph
Gust model range
26 mph – 40 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SE
Highest gust input
40 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 30 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 23.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 39.1 mph, a 22.7 mph gust spread, and a 8.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (39 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 28 mph
Gust model range
24 mph – 39 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SE
Highest gust input
39 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (38 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
30 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.