Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.6 mph, a 17.8 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 13 mph, gusts 21 mph, and climb band 15 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 9:00 AM.

Surface
13 mph
Gust
21 mph
Climb band
15 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 9:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn1°

Surface

13 mph

33 ft · SSE

Gust spread

8 mph

Gusts 21 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 200 J/kg / sun 176 W/m2

Climb drift

2 mph

394 ft / SSE

Cape JervisDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.6 mph, a 17.8 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (31 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
31 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.2 mph, a 19.3 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph). 2 forecast inputs indicate thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.7 mph and a 20.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 24 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 20.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.1 mph and a 19.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 26 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.8 mph and a 19.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 24 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 34 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
34 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34.9 mph and a 21 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (35 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 35 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · S
Highest gust input
35 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 21 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 35.1 mph and a 20.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (35 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 35 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · S
Highest gust input
35 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 20.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34.2 mph and a 19.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 34 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · S
Highest gust input
34 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.7 mph and a 18.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 23 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · S
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 31.8 mph and a 17.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 24 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · S
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.2 mph and a 17.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 24 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.3 mph and a 18.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (31 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.