Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19 mph and a 8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 11 mph, gusts 18 mph, and climb band 12 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 2:00 PM.

Surface
11 mph
Gust
18 mph
Climb band
12 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 2:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn19°

Surface

11 mph

33 ft · NE

Gust spread

7 mph

Gusts 18 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 10 J/kg / sun 810 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / NE

Grants Headland - SE BonnysDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19 mph and a 8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · NE
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.4 mph and a 10.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · NE
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph and a 9.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · NE
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.3 mph and a 9.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.7 mph and a 8.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.3 mph and a 5.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 5.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 14.5 mph, a 4.7 mph gust spread, and a 4.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 14.5 mph, a 4.7 mph gust spread, and a 4.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph and a 5.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph and a 6.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · N
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.4 mph and a 5.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · N
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of gusts at 14.3 mph and a 4.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · N
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (45 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by gusts at 14.3 mph and a 4.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.