Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.6 mph, a 12.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 6 mph, gusts 11 mph, and climb band 16 mph for Saturday, Oct 3, 3:00 AM.

Surface
6 mph
Gust
11 mph
Climb band
16 mph

Saturday, Oct 3, 3:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn12°

Surface

6 mph

33 ft · NNE

Gust spread

4 mph

Gusts 11 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 25 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

9 mph

394 ft / N

Manilla - Mt Borah - Northeast launchDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.6 mph, a 12.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.6 mph, a 11.7 mph gust spread, and a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 26 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.3 mph, a 11.8 mph gust spread, and a 10.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · N
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.4 mph, a 12.3 mph gust spread, and a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · N
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 27 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.4 mph, a 13.5 mph gust spread, and a 9.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · N
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph and a 14.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · N
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 27 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.4 mph and a 17.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · N
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30 mph and a 18.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · N
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.8 mph and a 19 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.5 mph and a 18.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · N
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.8 mph and a 18.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · N
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.2 mph and a 17.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · N
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (791 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.