Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 50° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 4 mph, gusts 5 mph, and climb band 5 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 12:00 PM.

Surface
4 mph
Gust
5 mph
Climb band
5 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 12:00 PM

Right now

ACTIVE

Forecast confidence: Low

Verify the site, obstacles, rotor, and pilot limits before committing.

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Watch-outs

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn39°

Surface

4 mph

33 ft · S

Gust spread

1 mph

Gusts 5 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 10 J/kg / sun 648 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / SW

Morro do Diabo (Sao Vendelino)ACTIVE Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
12:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 50° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
50°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 50° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 48° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
48°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 48° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 34° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
34°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 34° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

3:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.7 mph gust spread and a 5.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.7 mph gust spread and a 5.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph and a 13 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
20°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 11.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
24°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 9.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph and a 14 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 11.9 mph gust spread and a 9.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
29°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.2 mph, a 12.3 mph gust spread, and a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
38°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 8.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (647 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
25°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.