Demanding this hour because of a 68° low-level direction change combined with a 7.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · WSW
- Highest gust input
- 9 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 68°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 68° low-level direction change combined with a 7.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 5.7 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 3 mph – 8 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 8 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 29°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 5.2 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 3 mph – 9 mph
- Gust model range
- 3 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 10 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 17°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19 mph, a 10.8 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 5 mph – 13 mph
- Gust model range
- 6 mph – 19 mph
- Surface wind
- 8 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 19 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 4 mph – 17 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 14 mph (+6)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 8°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.7 mph, a 13.8 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 6 mph – 14 mph
- Gust model range
- 7 mph – 24 mph
- Surface wind
- 10 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 24 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 6 mph – 20 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 18 mph (+8)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 12 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 6°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.7 mph, a 13.2 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 7 mph – 14 mph
- Gust model range
- 11 mph – 24 mph
- Surface wind
- 11 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 24 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 7 mph – 20 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 19 mph (+9)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 13 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 4°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 25 mph, a 14.1 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 8 mph – 14 mph
- Gust model range
- 11 mph – 25 mph
- Surface wind
- 11 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 25 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 7 mph – 20 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 20 mph (+9)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 13 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 2°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32 mph, a 20.4 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 7 mph – 16 mph
- Gust model range
- 9 mph – 32 mph
- Surface wind
- 12 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 32 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 8 mph – 23 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 22 mph (+10)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 14 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 3°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34 mph, a 23.1 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 6 mph – 14 mph
- Gust model range
- 12 mph – 34 mph
- Surface wind
- 11 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 34 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (330 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 11 mph – 23 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 22 mph (+11)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 15 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 2°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.