Demanding this hour because of a 62° low-level direction change combined with a 8.9 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 12 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 62°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 62° low-level direction change combined with a 8.9 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 7.9 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 3 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 43°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 8.1 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 3 mph – 12 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 12 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 33°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.8 mph, a 10.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 8 mph
- Gust model range
- 6 mph – 17 mph
- Surface wind
- 6 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 17 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 12 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 12 mph (+6)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 7 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 14°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.7 mph, a 15.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 5 mph – 10 mph
- Gust model range
- 7 mph – 24 mph
- Surface wind
- 8 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 24 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 5 mph – 17 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 16 mph (+8)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 11 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 13°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.9 mph, a 15.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 7 mph – 10 mph
- Gust model range
- 11 mph – 24 mph
- Surface wind
- 8 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 24 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 7 mph – 16 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 18 mph (+9)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 11 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 7°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.6 mph, a 18.6 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 7 mph – 10 mph
- Gust model range
- 10 mph – 27 mph
- Surface wind
- 8 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 27 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 8 mph – 17 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 18 mph (+10)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 12 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 3°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.5 mph, a 18.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 7 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 9 mph – 28 mph
- Surface wind
- 9 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 28 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 9 mph – 18 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 20 mph (+12)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 13 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 3°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 39.4 mph, a 31 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (39 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 6 mph – 13 mph
- Gust model range
- 11 mph – 39 mph
- Surface wind
- 8 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 39 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (590 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 10 mph – 20 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 22 mph (+14)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 13 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 1°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.