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MPHMiles per hour
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.7 mph, a 18 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

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Surface 6 mph, gusts 19 mph, and climb band 10 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 11:00 AM.

Surface
6 mph
Gust
19 mph
Climb band
10 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 11:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpActive
Drift turn0°

Surface

6 mph

33 ft · NW

Gust spread

13 mph

Gusts 19 mph

Thermal bump

Active

CAPE 590 J/kg / sun 867 W/m2

Climb drift

4 mph

394 ft / NW

Sao Jose do Barreiro - Estacao BocainaDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.7 mph, a 18 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 24 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NW
Highest gust input
24 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.8 mph, a 20.6 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NW
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.6 mph, a 20.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30 mph, a 24.6 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 31.8 mph, a 26.4 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · W
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.2 mph, a 28 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SW
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 31.3 mph, a 28.1 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (31 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
31 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
31°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.8 mph and a 25.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SW
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
19°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 25.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.7 mph and a 20.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 24 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SW
Highest gust input
24 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
19°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 20.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.6 mph and a 14.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SW
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.5 mph and a 14.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.2 mph and a 13.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,621 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 7 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.