Demanding this hour because of a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 8 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (1,517 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 94°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 8 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.