Demanding this hour because of a 6.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 4 mph – 8 mph
- Surface wind
- 1 mph · NW
- Highest gust input
- 8 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 5 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 25°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 6.9 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 4 mph – 7 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · WSW
- Highest gust input
- 7 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 55°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Medium · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 5 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 61° low-level direction change combined with a 6.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 4 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · WSW
- Highest gust input
- 9 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 61°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Medium · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 61° low-level direction change combined with a 6.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 8 mph – 13 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 13 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 5 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 10 mph (+6)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 6 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 22°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Medium · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.4 mph, a 13.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 6 mph – 8 mph
- Gust model range
- 19 mph – 20 mph
- Surface wind
- 7 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 20 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 7 mph – 15 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 19 mph (+13)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 11 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 4°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.9 mph, a 16 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 6 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 20 mph – 22 mph
- Surface wind
- 6 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 22 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 7 mph – 12 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 21 mph (+15)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 10 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 6°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Medium · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.4 mph, a 14.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 5 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 18 mph – 19 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 19 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 6 mph – 13 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 19 mph (+14)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 3°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.8 mph, a 13.7 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 15 mph – 19 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 19 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 8 mph – 11 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 17 mph (+12)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 10 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 4°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Medium · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.2 mph, a 18.8 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (26 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 3 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 12 mph – 26 mph
- Surface wind
- 7 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 26 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (169 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 10 mph – 18 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 19 mph (+12)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 14 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 1°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.