Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 3.1 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 37° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 3 mph, gusts 6 mph, and climb band 6 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 2:00 AM.

Surface
3 mph
Gust
6 mph
Climb band
6 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 2:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn100°

Surface

3 mph

33 ft · E

Gust spread

3 mph

Gusts 6 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 520 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

3 mph

394 ft / NE

Rampa do Morro Pelado, Águas de Lindóia - SPDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 3.1 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 37° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
37°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 37° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 2.7 mph gust spread, a 3.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 25° surface-to-flight direction change. This direction change adds a small alignment change through the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
25°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 2.7 mph gust spread, a 3.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 25° surface-to-flight direction change.

Key takeaways

  • This direction change adds a small alignment change through the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
4:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 2.9 mph gust spread, a 3.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 29° surface-to-flight direction change. This direction change adds a small alignment change through the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
29°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 2.9 mph gust spread, a 3.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 29° surface-to-flight direction change.

Key takeaways

  • This direction change adds a small alignment change through the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

5:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 32° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 32° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
6:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.1 mph gust spread and a 35° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
35°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 35° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
27°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 6.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 6.9 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 7.8 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.7 mph, a 12.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.6 mph and a 14.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.3 mph, a 24.4 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
33 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,309 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
33 mph (+24)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.