Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 2 mph, gusts 7 mph, and climb band 4 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM.

Surface
2 mph
Gust
7 mph
Climb band
4 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpActive
Drift turn104°

Surface

2 mph

33 ft · E

Gust spread

5 mph

Gusts 7 mph

Thermal bump

Active

CAPE 979 J/kg / sun 484 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / NNE

Senador José Bento - MGDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (10 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Highest gust input
10 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
57°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 62° low-level direction change combined with a 8.1 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (10 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NE
Highest gust input
10 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
62°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 62° low-level direction change combined with a 8.1 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.6 mph, a 13.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NW
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.4 mph, a 13.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.4 mph, a 18.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (26 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 26 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
26 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph, a 19.4 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · W
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.9 mph, a 21.4 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.2 mph, a 22.2 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · W
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph, a 20.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.8 mph and a 15.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.3 mph and a 15.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · W
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.6 mph and a 14.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · W
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,253 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.