Demanding this hour because of a 80° low-level direction change combined with a 9.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 12 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSE
- Highest gust input
- 12 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 80°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 80° low-level direction change combined with a 9.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 90° low-level direction change combined with a 9.8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 12 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSE
- Highest gust input
- 12 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 90°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 90° low-level direction change combined with a 9.8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.8 mph and a 67° low-level direction change combined with a 14.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 17 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · SSE
- Highest gust input
- 17 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 67°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 67° low-level direction change combined with a 14.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.9 mph and a 110° low-level direction change combined with a 13.5 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 16 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSE
- Highest gust input
- 16 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 3 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 110°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 110° low-level direction change combined with a 13.5 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph and a 145° low-level direction change combined with a 14.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 16 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSE
- Highest gust input
- 16 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · N
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 145°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 145° low-level direction change combined with a 14.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.3 mph, a 15.1 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 16 mph
- Surface wind
- 1 mph · NE
- Highest gust input
- 16 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · N
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 38°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph, a 14.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 17 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 17 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · N
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 14°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 11.7 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 5 mph – 15 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 15 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+6)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 7°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.6 mph, a 13.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 7 mph
- Gust model range
- 7 mph – 18 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · NNW
- Highest gust input
- 18 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (955 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 4 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 11 mph (+7)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 6 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 4°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.