Demanding this hour because of a 170° low-level direction change combined with a 9.3 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 2 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 1 mph · N
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 170°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 170° low-level direction change combined with a 9.3 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 132° low-level direction change combined with a 5.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 7 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 7 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 1 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 1 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 132°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 132° low-level direction change combined with a 5.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 80° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 5 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 5 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 2 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+1)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 1 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 80°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 80° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 65° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 6 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 2 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+1)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 1 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 65°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 65° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (4 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 4 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 4 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 3 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+1)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · S
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 3°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 125° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.6 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 7 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 7 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 3 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+1)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 125°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 125° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.6 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 134° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.8 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 5 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 134°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 134° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.8 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 7.2 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 1 mph · NNW
- Highest gust input
- 9 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 11°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 9.5 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 12 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · NNW
- Highest gust input
- 12 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (886 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 6°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 5 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.