Demanding this hour because of a 158° low-level direction change combined with a 11.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 14 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 14 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 158°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 158° low-level direction change combined with a 11.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 149° low-level direction change combined with a 8.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 149°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 149° low-level direction change combined with a 8.4 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 69° low-level direction change combined with a 8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (10 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 10 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 10 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 69°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 69° low-level direction change combined with a 8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 8.5 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 56°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 8.4 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 59°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 8.5 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 50°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 64° low-level direction change combined with a 9.3 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 64°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 64° low-level direction change combined with a 9.3 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 9.9 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 12 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 12 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 59°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 10.7 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 13 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · WNW
- Highest gust input
- 13 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (838 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 13°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.