Demanding this hour because of a 3.2 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 5.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 5 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 8 mph – 8 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · W
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 10 mph – 10 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 8 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 10 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 9°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.2 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 5.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 5.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · W
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+6)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 21°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 5.8 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 3.5 mph gust spread, a 5.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 7 mph – 7 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · WSW
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 27°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.5 mph gust spread, a 5.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 4.3 mph gust spread, a 5.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 3 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 7 mph – 7 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · W
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 8 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 8 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 19°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 4.3 mph gust spread, a 5.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Active this hour because of a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 5 mph – 5 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · WNW
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 7 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 7 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 18°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Demanding this hour because of a 3 mph gust spread, a 5.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 3 mph – 3 mph
- Gust model range
- 6 mph – 6 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · W
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 9 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 11°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3 mph gust spread, a 5.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 3.8 mph gust spread, a 5.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 6 mph – 6 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · WSW
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 7 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 7 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 21°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.8 mph gust spread, a 5.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Active this hour because of a 80° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 1 mph
- Gust model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Surface wind
- 1 mph · S
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 80°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 80° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator.
Key takeaways
- Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Active this hour because of a 61° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 1 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 2 mph
- Surface wind
- 1 mph · SSW
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (524 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 2 mph (+1)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 61°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
Wind direction changes 61° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.
Key takeaways
- The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.