Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph, a 13.2 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 15 mph – 17 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NW
- Highest gust input
- 17 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 16 mph (+12)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 16°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 11.7 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 12 mph – 14 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · NW
- Highest gust input
- 14 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 5 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 13 mph (+11)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 15°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 10.1 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 12 mph – 13 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NW
- Highest gust input
- 13 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 13 mph (+10)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 12°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Medium · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 9.3 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 11 mph – 12 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NW
- Highest gust input
- 12 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 11 mph (+8)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 11°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Medium · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 11.4 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 7 mph
- Gust model range
- 8 mph – 15 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NW
- Highest gust input
- 15 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 11 mph (+8)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · NW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 4°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 9.2 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 5 mph – 12 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NNW
- Highest gust input
- 12 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+6)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 3°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 8.3 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 6 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 17°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 10 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 10 mph – 13 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 13 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 11 mph (+9)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 48°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.8 mph and a 154° low-level direction change combined with a 20.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 6 mph – 23 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 23 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (728 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 10 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 15 mph (+12)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 6 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 154°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 2 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 154° low-level direction change combined with a 20.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.