Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 71° low-level direction change combined with a 7.8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 2 mph, gusts 6 mph, and climb band 6 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 9:00 PM.

Surface
2 mph
Gust
6 mph
Climb band
6 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 9:00 PM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn68°

Surface

2 mph

33 ft · SSE

Gust spread

4 mph

Gusts 6 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 1,220 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

4 mph

394 ft / E

Pico da Cartuxa, Mariana - MGDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 71° low-level direction change combined with a 7.8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (10 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
10 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
71°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 71° low-level direction change combined with a 7.8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 6.9 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · S
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
94°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 6.9 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.3 mph and a 115° low-level direction change combined with a 14 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
115°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 115° low-level direction change combined with a 14 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 12.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph). Wind direction is uncertain: forecast inputs disagree.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · direction uncertain
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
Unavailable
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

Data limits: surface-to-flight direction change.

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 153° low-level direction change combined with a 6.1 mph gust spread and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
8 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
153°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 153° low-level direction change combined with a 6.1 mph gust spread and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 97° low-level direction change combined with a 6.4 mph gust spread and a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
8 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
97°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 97° low-level direction change combined with a 6.4 mph gust spread and a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 72° low-level direction change combined with a 7.3 mph gust spread and a 5.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NW
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
72°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 72° low-level direction change combined with a 7.3 mph gust spread and a 5.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 8.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
58°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 9.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
12 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
40°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 10.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · N
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 11.7 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.4 mph, a 11.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,312 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.