Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.2 mph and a 112° low-level direction change combined with a 19.5 mph gust spread and a 5.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 3 mph – 23 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · WNW
- Highest gust input
- 23 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (640 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 5 mph – 13 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 9 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 112°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 112° low-level direction change combined with a 19.5 mph gust spread and a 5.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.