Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph, a 9.3 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 13 mph, gusts 19 mph, and climb band 14 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM.

Surface
13 mph
Gust
19 mph
Climb band
14 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Medium

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Watch-outs

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowBreezy
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpActive
Drift turn2°

Surface

13 mph

33 ft · ENE

Gust spread

6 mph

Gusts 19 mph

Thermal bump

Active

CAPE 457 J/kg / sun 658 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / ENE

Morro do Urubu, Aracaju - SEDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph, a 9.3 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.6 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · E
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28 mph and a 11.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 20 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · E
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.8 mph and a 11.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · E
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.3 mph and a 11.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · E
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.1 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · E
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28 mph and a 10.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · E
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.1 mph and a 10 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · E
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28 mph and a 11.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · E
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.8 mph and a 12.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.8 mph and a 13.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (6 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 3 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.