Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

Forecast point

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 9.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Paraglider modeTap to expand

Launch 9 mph, gusts 13 mph, and aloft flow 6 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 2:00 PM. Manual map picks do not include launch-face data.

Launch
9 mph
Gust
13 mph
Dir
SW

Wednesday, Sep 30, 2:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • Manual map picks do not include launch-face data, so this read leans on forecast quality rather than slope alignment.
  • Strong factor: a 9.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
Current detailsShow
Launch flowLight
DirectionSW
Thermal liftBuilding
AlignmentManual map pick

Launch

9 mph

100 ft · SW

Aloft build

2 mph

aloft / ~1,000 ft

Thermal lift

Building

CAPE 10 J/kg / sun 800 W/m2

Turn / shear

0°

Build 2 mph

Alignment

Manual map pick

Forecast quality only

San Diego, CADEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 9.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • Strong factor: a 9.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • Strong factor: a 9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SW
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • Strong factor: a 8.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 7.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SW
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • Strong factor: a 7.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 7.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • Strong factor: a 7.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 6.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (10 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
10 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • Strong factor: a 6.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 6.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • Strong factor: a 6.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may increase collapse exposure and make launch or landing cycles less predictable. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • These conditions may exceed the limits of less-experienced pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Soarable this hour because of a 5 mph gust spread. These values fall between the Light and Demanding criteria, but usable lift remains uncertain.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
8 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Surface wind at 3.1 mph is the clearest measured factor, while usable lift remains uncertain.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible, but the provider does not supply thermal strength in fpm.
  • Confirm actual cycles, launch direction, and local site guidance.
10:00 PM
Dark

Soarable this hour because of a 4.8 mph gust spread. These values fall between the Light and Demanding criteria, but usable lift remains uncertain.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
17°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Surface wind at 3.7 mph is the clearest measured factor, while usable lift remains uncertain.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible, but the provider does not supply thermal strength in fpm.
  • Confirm actual cycles, launch direction, and local site guidance.
11:00 PM
Dark

Soarable this hour because of a 5.4 mph gust spread. One borderline factor alone does not trigger Demanding, but usable lift remains uncertain.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Surface wind at 3.1 mph is the clearest measured factor, while usable lift remains uncertain.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible, but the provider does not supply thermal strength in fpm.
  • Confirm actual cycles, launch direction, and local site guidance.
12:00 AM
Dark

Soarable this hour because of a 3.4 mph gust spread and a 123° surface-to-flight direction change. These values fall between the Light and Demanding criteria, but usable lift remains uncertain.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · N
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
123°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 123° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible, but the provider does not supply thermal strength in fpm.
  • Confirm actual cycles, launch direction, and local site guidance.
1:00 AM
Dark

Soarable this hour because of a 119° surface-to-flight direction change. These values fall between the Light and Demanding criteria, but usable lift remains uncertain.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NE
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (20 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
119°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 4 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 119° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible, but the provider does not supply thermal strength in fpm.
  • Confirm actual cycles, launch direction, and local site guidance.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
AlignmentManual map pick

Up to 12 forecast inputs are combined when current coverage is available. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. The consensus aligns units, valid times, and altitude references, interpolates wind vectors between supported heights, and uses an outlier-resistant central estimate. Full model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards reported by a minority of inputs remain visible. Missing data stays unavailable. Forecast gusts, weather codes, CAPE, solar, and cloud data describe modeled conditions; dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor observations are not available. Treat this as a launch-strength, thermal-activity, and surface-to-layer change read. Manual map picks do not include launch-face data, so this read leans on forecast quality rather than slope alignment. It still does not know local rotor or whether a specific face is open today.