Launch Forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsiusdeg C
Fahrenheitdeg F

Planning window

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Forecast point

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Current read

ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.7 mph gust spread and a 39° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to Expand

Surface 4 mph, gusts 8 mph, and forecast flight layer 4 mph for Sunday, Aug 30, 8:00 AM.

Surface
4 mph
Gust
8 mph
394 ft
4 mph

Sunday, Aug 30, 8:00 AM

Right now

Yes

ACTIVE

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Watch-outs

  • Surface and forecast flight-layer winds look comparatively steady.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn19 deg

Surface

4 mph

33 ft · SSW

Gust spread

4 mph

Gusts 8 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 16 J/kg / Sun 134 W/m2

Flight-layer build

0 mph

394 ft / SSE

San Diego, CAACTIVE now

Forecast

Next 3 Hours

+9 more
8:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.7 mph gust spread and a 39° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
4 mph · SSW
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
4 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
39°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Low activity estimated · CAPE 16 J/kg · solar 134 W/m² · cloud 46%
Forecast confidence
Medium · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

Wind direction changes 39° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
9:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
4 mph · SSW
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
4 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Low activity estimated · CAPE 33 J/kg · solar 308 W/m² · cloud 43%
Forecast confidence
Medium · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 10.1 mph, a 4.6 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
5 mph · SW
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
6 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 58 J/kg · solar 515 W/m² · cloud 18%
Forecast confidence
Medium · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 10.1 mph, a 4.6 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show hour-by-hour forecast

Hour-by-hour forecast

11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
7 mph · SW
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
8 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 79 J/kg · solar 716 W/m² · cloud 5%
Forecast confidence
Medium · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 6.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
10 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 58 J/kg · solar 829 W/m² · cloud 2%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.2 mph and a 6.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
10 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 19 J/kg · solar 896 W/m² · cloud 1%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16 mph and a 7.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
9 mph · WSW
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
11 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 6 J/kg · solar 880 W/m² · cloud 2%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph and a 7.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
9 mph · WSW
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
10 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 16 J/kg · solar 804 W/m² · cloud 5%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.8 mph and a 7.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
8 mph · WSW
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
9 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 39 J/kg · solar 663 W/m² · cloud 6%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 7.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
7 mph · WSW
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
8 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Building activity estimated · CAPE 36 J/kg · solar 483 W/m² · cloud 6%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 6.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
6 mph · WSW
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
7 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Low activity estimated · CAPE 16 J/kg · solar 275 W/m² · cloud 10%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind
5 mph · WSW
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft AGL
6 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible · Low activity estimated · CAPE 7 J/kg · solar 77 W/m² · cloud 13%
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

Up to 12 forecast inputs are combined: regional Open-Meteo Best Match, ECMWF IFS, NOAA GFS, DWD ICON, Environment Canada GEM, Météo-France, UK Met Office, JMA, KMA, BOM ACCESS, CMA GRAPES, and MET Norway when each has current coverage. Best Match is itself a regional model blend and can overlap the named models, so the card reports forecast inputs rather than independent sources. The hourly consensus aligns timestamps, uses an outlier-resistant weighted average for numeric fields, a circular average for wind direction, and a weighted observed-code vote for categorical weather. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds are not available, so the cards show measured gust spread plus WMO weather, CAPE, solar, and cloud evidence instead. Treat this as a takeoff, forecast flight-layer, direction-change, and thermal-activity read. Because a paramotor launch heading can be chosen more freely, this tab weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime activity more than absolute wind direction. It still does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor.